You are currently viewing Opinion | How Singapore’s clean energy push can support commitment to a greener ASEAN power grid

Opinion | How Singapore’s clean energy push can support commitment to a greener ASEAN power grid

At Cop28 Last year, 125 countries agreed to triple renewable energy capacity and double energy efficiency by 2030. Half of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Not only have countries signed this commitment, but also countries that have not made national commitments to increase renewable energy and achieve net-zero emissions. An ASEAN electricity trade will be crucial to ensure that these commitments are met.
Singapore already has electricity trading projects with six other ASEAN members – Laos, Thailand, Malaysia, Cambodia, VietnamAnd Indonesia – and thus becomes a pioneer in regional electricity trading. Singapore can use its advantage as a pioneer to establish standard approaches to trading green electricity and initiate positive changes at the regional level.
Southeast Asia is the fourth largest energy consumers, and the International Energy Agency predicts that Southeast Asia’s energy demand will grow by about 5 percent annually through 2030 and 3 percent through 2050, above the global average over that period. Indonesia, Malaysia, the PhilippinesThailand and Vietnam meet about 89 percent of ASEAN’s current energy needs and most of its future growth. Singapore only meets 5 percent of ASEAN’s energy needs, but is nevertheless an influential hub for innovation and progress in electricity trade.
A vendor waits for customers under a lamp powered by solar panels on the roof of a market in Klaten in the Indonesian province of Central Java. Photo: AFP

Singapore’s leadership in this area is based on domestic needs: currently, most of its electricity is generated from natural gas, and the government has set a long-term goal of reducing this share to just over 50 percent by using clean electricity. Some of this alternative energy will come from domestic sources, such as rooftop solar panels and possibly geothermal, nuclear or hydrogen. However, given land constraints, electricity imports will be a necessary factor in Singapore’s future energy mix.

The Energy Markets Authority has set a target of importing 4,000 megawatts (or about 30 percent) of Singapore’s electricity by 2035. Achieving this target will require a significant expansion of imports, as Singapore currently imports only 1.3 percent of its electricity in the form of 100 MW of hydropower, which is generated via the Laos-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore electricity integration project (LTMS-PIP). This milestone was the first multilateral power trading system in ASEAN and is expected to increase to 300 MW soon.

However, future demand is likely to be met from other sources, partly due to required infrastructure improvements to expand interconnections and power flows for the LTMS-PIP and partly due to the overall security and resilience benefits of power diversification. Singapore’s Energy Markets Authority recently granted conditional approval for a number of alternative power imports: contracts have been signed for 1,000 MW of solar, wind and pumped storage from Cambodia, 1,200 MW of offshore wind projects in Vietnam and up to 2,000 MW of solar from Indonesia by 2023.

There are many factors supporting the region’s revived push into regional power trading, including excess electricity and reserve margins in exporting countries such as Laos, shared concerns about over-reliance on volatile fossil fuel markets in the face of Covid-19 pandemic And Ukraine conflictand the climate crisis is driving national efforts to reduce emissions. In this context, Singapore’s agreements help drive innovations in regional electricity trading that were not considered in previous analyses of the ASEAN power grid.
A worker takes a photo of solar panels on the roof of the Keppel Bay Tower office building in Singapore last year. Photo: Reuters

Singapore’s penchant for clean energy is leading to new ideas for power routes, such as high-voltage submarine cables that allow direct power trade with Cambodia, Indonesia and Vietnam. Singapore also needs to negotiate operating and pricing agreements for cross-border power purchases from solar and wind power plants, which require different terms than traditional power sources due to their intermittent output.

Singapore should demonstrate to the region that these increasingly affordable alternatives are reliable and offer a good return on investment, both domestically and in regional trade. This could open the door to larger-scale renewable energy trade between other ASEAN members and influence similar projects such as the Brunei-Indonesia-Malaysia-Philippines Energy Integration Project. Sharing Singapore’s experience in promoting innovative investment can also be successful for other foreign investors, such as Chinawhich could lead to an expansion of clean energy investments in the ASEAN region.

Expanding interconnections will bring major savings for ASEAN. A recent study by DNV estimates that ASEAN could save US$800 billion by 2050 if countries embrace renewable energy through multilateral trade. Equally important, the study shows that expanded regional electricity trading could reduce land use for energy projects by 13 percent by avoiding unnecessary expansion of domestic power plants and energy storage.

Trading electricity opens the door to a wider range of power generation options, allowing Singapore and the region to be more selective about which projects they buy power from, and thereby target the greatest environmental impacts of investments. Many low-carbon energy projects also have significant non-carbon environmental impacts – such as river fragmentation from large hydropower projects or land-use conflicts from large solar farms.

Explicitly taking into account a number of criteria when concluding electricity trading agreements – such as demanding environmental and social impact assessments or high requirements for the certification of renewable energies – can help give preference to projects that are both clean and generally sustainable.

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Singapore opens one of the world’s largest floating solar parks

Singapore opens one of the world’s largest floating solar parks

The Energy Market Authority could require specific standards for assessing environmental and social impacts before granting conditional approval to projects. This could encourage investors in exporting countries to meet higher standards than those that may be required in their own country and avoid projects with unavoidable negative impacts.

Coordination with the national energy suppliers of the exporting countries regarding the issuance and trading of renewable energy certificates would also be key to monitor the wider impact of electricity imports, which could ultimately be sold to private companies that consume large amounts of energy and want to achieve their corporate renewable energy targets.

Singapore alone cannot bring about change, but it can stimulate and support a regional debate on a greener ASEAN power grid. Although Singapore’s electricity needs are limited compared to its neighbors, as an early adopter it has the opportunity to explore standard-setting and build consensus on regional scaling of electricity trading.

Singapore is already a hub for technical training programmes through university centres, the Singapore Cooperation Programme and the Third-Country Training Programme with numerous international partners. Focusing future training streams on renewable energy certification standards, renewable energy grid integration and system-level planning would help pave the way for a greener and more resilient regional energy system in line with ASEAN interests.

Courtney Weatherby is deputy director of the Southeast Asia Program and a fellow in the Energy, Water and Sustainability Program at the Stimson Center in Washington. This commentary was first published on the ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute commentary website. fulcrum.sg.

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